In their studies, the scientists found that soybean yields increase by about 12% at the elevated CO2 levels predicted for the year 2050 (550 parts per million)—only half of what previous studies estimated. They also found that increased ozone is quite harmful to soybean yields, reducing them by about 20%. In addition, current levels of ozone are already suppressing soybean yields by up to 15%, according to Ort, who is also research leader of the ARS Photosynthesis Research Unit in Urbana, Ill.
These results led the scientists to examine the combined effects of CO2 and ozone changes on soybeans. They found that elevated CO2 partially offsets the ozone damage, confirming general results obtained with open-top chamber studies conducted at other ARS laboratories. There is much more to be learned about how other interacting factors that affect ozone uptake may come into play by mid-century. Results from these studies will help breeders develop soybean varieties better adapted to the changing climate.
Agricultural Research article
Current atmospheric ozone levels are already suppressing soybean yields, according to Agricultural Research Service (ARS) scientists and university cooperators studying the effect of global climate change on crops. ARS Plant Physiologists Don Ort and Carl Bernacchi, Molecular Biologist Lisa Ainsworth, and Geneticist Randall Nelson have been working with University of Illinois scientists on a project called “SoyFACE”—Soybean Free Air Concentration Enrichment—to measure how the projected increases in carbon dioxide and ozone will affect soybean production. This research supports the U.S. Department of Agriculture priority of responding to climate change.