U.S. restaurant performance hits 14-month high

July 3, 2013

Buoyed by stronger same-store sales and customer traffic levels, the National Restaurant Association’s (NRA) Restaurant Performance Index hit a 14-month high in May. The RPI—a monthly composite index that tracks the health of and outlook for the U.S. restaurant industry— stood at 101.8 in May, up 0.9% from April and the third consecutive monthly gain. May also represented the third straight month that the RPI surpassed the 100 level, which signifies expansion in the index of key industry indicators.

“The May increase in the Restaurant Performance Index was driven by broad-based gains in the current situation indicators, most notably positive same-store sales and customer traffic results,” said Hudson Riehle, Senior Vice President of the Research and Knowledge Group for the National Restaurant Association. “In addition, restaurant operators remain optimistic about continued sales growth and a majority plan to make a capital expenditure in the next six months.”

The RPI is constructed so that the health of the restaurant industry is measured in relation to a steady-state level of 100. Index values above 100 indicate that key industry indicators are in a period of expansion, while index values below 100 represent a period of contraction for key industry indicators.

A majority of restaurant operators reported higher same-store sales in May, and the overall results were a solid improvement over the April performance. Sixty-three percent of restaurant operators reported a same-store sales gain between May 2012 and May 2013, up from 49% who reported higher sales in April. Meanwhile, just 23% of operators reported a decline in same-store sales in May, down from 33% in April.

Restaurant operators also reported a net gain in customer traffic levels in May. Forty-seven percent of restaurant operators reported higher customer traffic levels between May 2012 and May 2013, while 30% of operators said their traffic declined. In April, 36% of operators reported an increase in customer traffic, while 40% reported lower traffic levels.

Restaurant operators are increasingly optimistic about their sales prospects in the months ahead. Forty-seven percent of restaurant operators expect to have higher sales in six months (compared to the same period in the previous year), up from 41% last month and the highest level in nearly a year. In addition, only 8% of restaurant operators expect their sales volume in six months to be lower than it was during the same period in the previous year, the lowest level in 12 months.

Press release