The International Cocoa Organization predicts a supply deficit of about 17,000 tons in the current 2014/2015 cocoa year. Global cocoa bean production is expected to decrease by nearly 3% to 4.232 million tons and grindings are forecast to decrease by 1.7% to 4.207 million tons. Thus, current year stocks of cocoa beans would stand at 1.609 million tons, down from stocks of 1.626 million tons in the prior season.
Infographic source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations